Politics Odds
Government shutdowns, legislation, Supreme Court rulings and the White House. 851 live markets, $6.0M traded in the last 24 hours.
Elon Musk # tweets November 5 - November 7, 2026?
90-114>99% ▲ 58
115-139<1% ▼ 7
140-164<1% ▼ 1
Polymarket $670K 24h · $961K vol
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3134% ▼ 7
March 3167% ▼ 4
November 3014% ▼ 7
Polymarket $459K 24h · $49.0M vol
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · before 2027
Kash Patel24% ▼ 1
Pete Hegseth38% —
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.17% ▼ 7
Kalshi $360K 24h · $4.5M vol
US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?
November 5>99% —
November 698% ▲ 1
Polymarket $313K 24h · $3.9M vol
Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026?
260-27931% ▲ 9
280-29927% ▲ 5
240-25917% ▲ 6
Polymarket $280K 24h · $1.1M vol
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro94% ▲ 2
Delcy Rodríguez5% ▼ 2
María Corina Machado<1% —
Polymarket $227K 24h · $99.8M vol
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 312% —
Polymarket $212K 24h · $78.0M vol
What will Trump say this week? · Before Nov 9, 2026
Dividend / Stimulus15% ▲ 4
Superintelligence / Super Intelligence99% —
Vivek / Ramaswamy99% —
Kalshi $162K 24h · $431K vol
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Markwayne Mullin10% ▼ 13
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.14% ▲ 1
Pete Hegseth40% ▲ 8
Polymarket $140K 24h · $2.2M vol
Next Press Secretary announced by...?
December 3172% ▼ 2
November 3041% ▲ 5
Polymarket $138K 24h · $1.2M vol
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?28% ▲ 9
Polymarket $137K 24h · $723K vol
Blue wave in 2026? · In 2026
Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?99% —
Kalshi $130K 24h · $13.2M vol
Elon Musk # tweets November 7 - November 9, 2026?
65-8943% ▲ 4
40-6438% ▲ 18
90-11416% ▼ 10
Polymarket $129K 24h · $145K vol
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei93% ▲ 3
Alireza Arafi2%
No Head of State2% ▼ 2
Polymarket $104K 24h · $40.9M vol
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase77%
No change22%
25 bps decrease<1%
Polymarket $102K 24h · $16.7M vol
Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?
260-27916% ▲ 4
280-29916% ▲ 1
300-31914% ▲ 2
Polymarket $100K 24h · $319K vol
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? · Before Jan 20, 2029
Anna Kelly14% ▼ 6
Scott Jennings5% —
Danielle Alvarez5% ▼ 1
Kalshi $100K 24h · $278K vol
Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202723% ▲ 1
November 302% ▼ 1
December 317% ▼ 2
Polymarket $98.6K 24h · $29.4M vol
Blue tsunami in 2026? · In 2026
Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?98% —
Kalshi $92.9K 24h · $3.5M vol
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
December 3139% ▲ 6
November 3018% ▼ 2
Polymarket $90.9K 24h · $894K vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) · 11/2 - 11/8
Above 1598% ▲ 4
Above 2082% ▼ 2
Above 2346% ▼ 15
Kalshi $66.6K 24h · $123K vol
Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
Mark Carney7% ▼ 2
Ken Paxton>99%
Polymarket $62.1K 24h · $929K vol
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China90% ▲ 1
No meeting by December 3110% ▼ 1
United States<1% —
Polymarket $62.0K 24h · $2.4M vol
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? · Before Apr 2026
Before Oct 1, 20261% —
Before Nov 1, 20262% —
Before Nov 16, 202613% —
Kalshi $58.2K 24h · $613K vol
Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?
UAE96% ▲ 1
No Talks by December 31, 20273% —
Turkey<1% —
Polymarket $56.4K 24h · $294K vol
What will Trump say during 60 Minutes? · Donald Trump - CBS: 60 Minutes originally scheduled for November 8, 2026
Midterm74% ▼ 16
Iran (3+ times)73% ▼ 15
Ukraine69% ▼ 16
Kalshi $55.5K 24h · $74.4K vol
Next leader out of power before 2027?
None before 202757% ▲ 1
Netanyahu - Israel PM32% ▲ 6
Sánchez - Spanish PM4% ▼ 2
Polymarket $51.7K 24h · $2.5M vol
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3112%
November 304% —
November 152% ▲ 1
Polymarket $50.7K 24h · $13.3M vol
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?4% ▼ 3
Polymarket $47.5K 24h · $2.2M vol
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?2% —
Polymarket $46.2K 24h · $36.1M vol
Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government? · Before Jan 1, 2027
Gadi Eisenkot>99% ▲ 2
Amir Ohana<1% —
Avigdor Lieberman<1% —
Kalshi $46.1K 24h · $168K vol
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?11%
Polymarket $46.1K 24h · $78.4M vol
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
November 826%
November 1540%
November 2248%
Polymarket $44.0K 24h · $35.3K vol
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium9% ▼ 0
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)7% ▼ 4
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)11%
Polymarket $42.5K 24h · $1.6M vol
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 3110%
November 302% ▼ 2
Polymarket $40.7K 24h · $21.4M vol
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31, 202641% ▼ 4
November 30, 202622% ▼ 7
Polymarket $38.4K 24h · $1.5M vol
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8) · 11/2 - 11/8
Above 15099% —
Above 16097% —
Above 17097% ▼ 1
Kalshi $37.9K 24h · $135K vol
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by...?
November 8, 2026<1% —
November 15, 20262% —
November 30, 20264% ▼ 1
Polymarket $31.2K 24h · $214K vol
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?2%
Polymarket $28.9K 24h · $25.0M vol
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 202795% —
US3% ▲ 1
Qatar / UAE<1% —
Polymarket $27.9K 24h · $4.2M vol
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?3%
Polymarket $27.7K 24h · $29.6M vol
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
November 3017% ▼ 3
December 3136%
Polymarket $27.4K 24h · $3.9M vol
Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?
280-29912% ▲ 1
300-31911% ▼ 1
260-27910%
Polymarket $26.8K 24h · $41.1K vol
Crude Oil all time high by...?
December 318%
March 31, 202720% ▼ 0
Polymarket $26.8K 24h · $5.7M vol
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?3% ▼ 0
Polymarket $24.8K 24h · $3.8M vol
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?9% ▼ 1
Polymarket $23.9K 24h · $16.9M vol
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 20263%
June 30, 202714% ▲ 1
December 31, 202719%
Polymarket $23.1K 24h · $914K vol
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 3116% ▲ 2
March 31, 202737% ▲ 1
June 30, 202754% ▲ 2
Polymarket $22.9K 24h · $10.6M vol
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
December 31, 20262%
June 30, 20279% ▼ 0
March 31, 20276% ▼ 1
Polymarket $21.9K 24h · $31.9M vol
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) · 11/2 - 11/8
Above 398% ▲ 4
Above 496% ▲ 11
Above 592% ▲ 39
Kalshi $21.2K 24h · $46.1K vol
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8) · 11/2 - 11/8
Above 26099% ▼ 1
Above 27096% ▲ 1
Above 28085% ▲ 3
Kalshi $18.6K 24h · $75.1K vol
US imports Russian diesel by...?
November 3014% ▲ 2
December 3116% ▲ 2
November 154% ▼ 2
Polymarket $17.7K 24h · $1.2M vol
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?
0-5>99% ▲ 5
5-102% ▼ 1
10-151% —
Polymarket $17.6K 24h · $76.5K vol
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?3% ▼ 1
Polymarket $17.6K 24h · $1.5M vol
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?2%
Polymarket $16.9K 24h · $45.9M vol
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 3113% ▲ 2
Polymarket $16.1K 24h · $7.6M vol
Elon Musk # tweets in November 2026?
1000+91% ▲ 5
960-9995% ▼ 1
920-9592% ▼ 1
Polymarket $16.1K 24h · $157K vol
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
December 313% ▼ 1
Polymarket $15.7K 24h · $2.1M vol
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 3110%
November 303% —
Polymarket $15.7K 24h · $18.0M vol
Will Pete Hegseth be impeached? · Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 202767% ▲ 13
Before Apr 1, 202782% ▲ 23
Before Jul 1, 202776% ▲ 4
Kalshi $15.6K 24h · $126K vol
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 3126% ▼ 5
November 3014% ▼ 8
Polymarket $15.2K 24h · $11.2M vol
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts November 3 - November 10, 2026?
100-11928% ▲ 12
120-13922% ▲ 4
80-9917% ▲ 5
Polymarket $13.3K 24h · $69.4K vol
Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2026?
<584% ▲ 17
5-914% ▼ 14
10-142% ▼ 3
Polymarket $11.0K 24h · $23.3K vol
Who will Trump speak to by November 30?
Nicolás Maduro2%
Reza Pahlavi3% —
Kim Jong Un7% ▼ 2
Polymarket $10.4K 24h · $270K vol
What will Trump say during "60 Minutes" extended interview?
Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times77%
Biden / Kamala / Obama 7+ times59%
Iran 5+ times82%
Polymarket $10.3K 24h · $10.1K vol
Will President Trump be impeached during his term? · Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 20, 202973% —
Kalshi $9.9K 24h · $685K vol
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?
October 31>99% ▲ 38
Polymarket $9.6K 24h · $22.9K vol
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by...?
November 30, 202612% ▼ 12
December 31, 202622% ▼ 9
January 31, 202726% ▼ 28
Polymarket $9.5K 24h · $66.4K vol
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/2 - 11/8) · 11/2 - 11/8
Above 17098% —
Above 18094% ▲ 2
Above 18587% ▲ 12
Kalshi $9.1K 24h · $29.1K vol
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
June 30, 202719% ▼ 1
December 315% ▼ 1
Polymarket $8.9K 24h · $5.0M vol
Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026? · Dec 12, 2026
Yes41% ▲ 12
Kalshi $8.8K 24h · $66.7K vol
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 20262% —
November 30, 20261% —
March 31, 20276% —
Polymarket $8.7K 24h · $3.2M vol
Will Russia invade another country by...?
December 31, 202718% ▼ 0
December 31, 20262% ▼ 1
Polymarket $8.6K 24h · $756K vol
Saudi airspace closed by...?
December 317% ▲ 1
Polymarket $8.5K 24h · $576K vol
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
December 314% ▼ 3
June 30, 202734% ▼ 1
March 31, 202714% ▼ 6
Polymarket $8.1K 24h · $553K vol
Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader? · Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Nov 3, 20265% —
Before Jan 1, 202752% ▼ 8
Kalshi $8.0K 24h · $14.8K vol
Pete Hegseth departure announced? · Before Apr 2026
Before Oct 1, 20261% —
Before Nov 1, 20261% —
Before Dec 1, 202631% ▲ 7
Kalshi $7.6K 24h · $108K vol
When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced? · Executive action timing
Before Oct 23, 20261% —
Before Oct 30, 20265% —
Before Nov 6, 20261% —
Kalshi $7.6K 24h · $20.1K vol
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts November 6 - November 13, 2026?
200+19% ▼ 6
160-17918% ▲ 4
140-15917% ▲ 1
Polymarket $7.4K 24h · $23.9K vol
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
November 3014% ▼ 1
December 3125% ▼ 4
Polymarket $7.2K 24h · $3.7M vol
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?87% ▼ 0
Polymarket $6.9K 24h · $80.2K vol
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
October 311% ▼ 0
November 3040% ▲ 19
Polymarket $6.8K 24h · $566K vol
Elon Musk # tweets November 9 - November 11, 2026?
65-8937%
90-11428%
40-6414%
Polymarket $6.5K 24h · $6.5K vol
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Nov 2026? · In Nov 2026
Xi Jinping97% —
Vladimir Putin86% —
Volodymyr Zelenskyy62% ▲ 2
Kalshi $6.4K 24h · $19.5K vol
Who will Trump meet with by November 30?
Kim Jong Un3% ▼ 1
Volodymyr Zelenskyy7% ▲ 2
Xi Jinping95% ▼ 0
Polymarket $6.1K 24h · $178K vol
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? · Before Jan 1, 2027
Letitia James8% ▼ 1
Hillary Clinton2% ▲ 2
Bill Clinton7% ▲ 5
Kalshi $5.8K 24h · $227K vol
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 314% ▼ 1
Polymarket $5.7K 24h · $18.6M vol
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 3197% —
November 3096% ▲ 1
November 1595% ▲ 1
Polymarket $5.7K 24h · $2.4M vol
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
345% ▼ 1
636% ▼ 3
528% ▼ 6
Polymarket $5.6K 24h · $23.0K vol
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?2% ▼ 1
Polymarket $5.6K 24h · $3.7M vol
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 3111%
March 31, 202722%
December 31, 202742%
Polymarket $5.5K 24h · $3.5M vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15) · 11/9 - 11/15
Above 1592% ▲ 92
Above 2082% ▲ 82
Above 2373% ▲ 73
Kalshi $5.4K 24h · $5.4K vol
When will Trump golf this weekend? (11/6-11/8) · 11/6-11/8
Nov 62% ▲ 3
Nov 797% ▲ 6
Nov 869% ▼ 2
Kalshi $5.2K 24h · $7.2K vol
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) · 11/9 - 11/15
Above 17096% ▲ 95
Above 18092% —
Above 18588% —
Kalshi $4.8K 24h · $4.8K vol
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?
December 316% ▼ 6
Polymarket $4.8K 24h · $112K vol
Aleksandar Vučić arrested by...?
November 30, 20268% ▼ 5
December 31, 202617% ▼ 52
Polymarket $4.7K 24h · $4.7K vol
Ted Cruz # posts November 6 - November 13, 2026?
100-11925% ▲ 1
120-13917% ▲ 3
20-3916% ▲ 15
Polymarket $4.7K 24h · $11.2K vol
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?2% —
Polymarket $4.6K 24h · $510K vol
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 315%
Polymarket $4.5K 24h · $77.4M vol
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (11/2-11/8) · Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026
595% ▲ 43
64% ▼ 44
42% —
Kalshi $4.5K 24h · $10.7K vol
USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?
November 1524% ▲ 20
November 3086% ▼ 5
November 122% —
Polymarket $4.4K 24h · $53.1K vol
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? · Transit calls
Before Oct 1, 20261% —
Before Nov 1, 20261% —
Before Dec 1, 20263% ▲ 1
Kalshi $4.3K 24h · $1.3M vol
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Xi Jinping out before 2027?2%
Polymarket $4.2K 24h · $17.0M vol
JD Vance out as VP by...?
December 312% ▼ 1
Polymarket $4.1K 24h · $279K vol
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
November 65% ▼ 3
November 711% ▼ 59
November 852% ▼ 29
Polymarket $4.1K 24h · $18.4K vol
Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)
November 3010% ▼ 2
December 3123% ▲ 1
Polymarket $4.1K 24h · $170K vol
France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?
November 15<1% —
December 312%
Polymarket $4.1K 24h · $340K vol
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Iran Nuke before 2027?3% ▼ 1
Polymarket $4.0K 24h · $1.6M vol
Fed Decision in January?
No change74%
25 bps increase19%
25 bps decrease4% —
Polymarket $4.0K 24h · $1.3M vol
US-Iran nuclear deal? · Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Oct 1, 20261% —
Before Nov 1, 20261% —
Before Dec 1, 20263% ▼ 1
Kalshi $3.7K 24h · $312K vol
Major company hacked via PHP flaw by...?
November 3032%
December 3161%
Polymarket $3.6K 24h · $3.6K vol
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?3% —
Polymarket $3.6K 24h · $563K vol
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by...?
December 3114% ▼ 2
Polymarket $3.5K 24h · $15.1K vol
CZ # posts November 3 - November 10, 2026?
20-3959% ▲ 19
40-5936% ▼ 6
60-791% ▼ 10
Polymarket $3.5K 24h · $17.3K vol
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026? · In Nov 2026
452% ▲ 3
5 or more34% ▲ 12
318% ▼ 5
Kalshi $3.4K 24h · $5.2K vol
Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?
Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?3% ▲ 2
Polymarket $3.4K 24h · $15.2K vol
Will Dana White publicly decline the press secretary role? · Before Nov 10, 2026
Before Nov 8, 20261% ▲ 1
Before Nov 10, 202647% ▲ 47
Kalshi $3.4K 24h · $3.4K vol
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?1% —
Polymarket $3.4K 24h · $1.5M vol
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?1% —
Polymarket $3.3K 24h · $33.0K vol
What companies will Trump say in November? · Before Dec 1, 2026
Tesla / TSLA64% ▼ 34
Apple / AAPL>99% —
Intel / INTC99% —
Kalshi $3.3K 24h · $56.5K vol
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts November 10 - November 17, 2026?
200+28% ▼ 6
140-15916% ▲ 8
160-17916% ▲ 5
Polymarket $3.3K 24h · $5.7K vol
Ted Cruz # posts November 3 - November 10, 2026?
60-7941% ▲ 16
40-5922% ▲ 20
80-9922% ▲ 1
Polymarket $3.2K 24h · $24.9K vol
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?<1%
Polymarket $3.2K 24h · $4.7M vol
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?
December 3137% ▼ 8
Polymarket $3.1K 24h · $236K vol
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office? · Before his term ends
Before Jul 1, 20279% ▼ 2
Before Jan 1, 202815% ▼ 1
Before his term ends23% ▲ 1
Kalshi $3.0K 24h · $223K vol
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
December 311% —
June 30, 20277% ▼ 0
Polymarket $3.0K 24h · $4.8M vol
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?16% ▼ 4
Polymarket $3.0K 24h · $207K vol
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
No Meeting by December 3157% ▲ 3
Qatar16% ▼ 3
Switzerland5% —
Polymarket $3.0K 24h · $257K vol
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
King Mohammed VI11% ▼ 2
Kim Jong Un4% ▼ 2
Mohammed bin Salman78% ▼ 5
Polymarket $3.0K 24h · $1.5M vol
Will Iran target Iraq by...?
November 1572% ▼ 5
November 3083% ▲ 6
Polymarket $2.9K 24h · $3.7K vol
Trump meets with Putin by...?
December 3189% ▲ 1
November 3088% ▲ 1
Polymarket $2.8K 24h · $491K vol
Trump's RCP approval average on Nov 8, 2026? · On Nov 8, 2026
39.1%77% ▲ 75
38.9%13% ▲ 11
39.0%8% ▲ 9
Kalshi $2.8K 24h · $2.8K vol
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Andrew Tate2%
Sam Bankman-Fried2% —
Eric Adams4% —
Polymarket $2.8K 24h · $621K vol
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?1% —
Polymarket $2.8K 24h · $11.9M vol
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 314% —
Polymarket $2.7K 24h · $2.3M vol
Will Trump resign during his term? · Before his term ends
Before his term ends25% —
Kalshi $2.7K 24h · $171K vol
How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?
363% ▲ 18
230% ▼ 15
16% ▼ 0
Polymarket $2.6K 24h · $27.6K vol
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Pete Hegseth28% ▲ 8
Marco Rubio16% ▲ 11
Howard Lutnick15% ▲ 9
Polymarket $2.5K 24h · $6.6K vol
Zelenskyy # posts November 3 - November 10, 2026?
80-9968% ▲ 8
100-11923% ▲ 5
60-797% ▼ 12
Polymarket $2.5K 24h · $12.9K vol
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
November 158% ▲ 1
November 3058% ▲ 11
December 3179% ▲ 1
Polymarket $2.5K 24h · $103K vol
Who will Trump speak to by October 31?
Lula da Silva<1% ▼ 11
Polymarket $2.4K 24h · $307K vol
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?2% ▼ 2
Polymarket $2.4K 24h · $38.6K vol
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? · Next Secretary of Defense
Ron DeSantis54% ▲ 40
No other person27% ▼ 15
Dan Driscoll25% ▲ 1
Kalshi $2.4K 24h · $16.7K vol
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?2% —
Polymarket $2.3K 24h · $186K vol
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by...?
December 31, 20268%
December 31, 202733% ▼ 0
June 30, 202726% ▲ 1
Polymarket $2.3K 24h · $3.0M vol
Fed Decision in March?
No change53% ▼ 2
25 bps increase36%
25 bps decrease6% ▼ 1
Polymarket $2.2K 24h · $128K vol
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?21% ▼ 1
Polymarket $2.2K 24h · $122K vol
Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on...?
November 896% ▲ 5
November 998% ▲ 26
November 1096% ▲ 23
Polymarket $2.1K 24h · $126K vol
Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State? · Before Jan 2029
Before Jan 1, 202717% ▼ 5
Before Apr 1, 202740% ▼ 1
Before Jul 1, 202761% ▲ 4
Kalshi $2.1K 24h · $37.6K vol
Government shutdown in 2027? · In 2027
Yes69% ▲ 6
Kalshi $2.1K 24h · $5.1K vol
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 20263% —
June 30, 202711% ▼ 0
December 31, 202721%
Polymarket $2.1K 24h · $626K vol
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
March 31, 202735%
June 30, 202756%
November 303% —
Polymarket $1.9K 24h · $2.2M vol
How many vulnerabilities will CISA add to the KEV catalog in Nov 2026? · Nov 2026
At least 1096% —
At least 1589% —
At least 2065% ▼ 1
Kalshi $1.9K 24h · $9.5K vol
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 312% —
Polymarket $1.8K 24h · $7.9M vol
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?20% ▲ 10
Polymarket $1.8K 24h · $7.5K vol
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh? · 2027
Before Sep 18, 20262% —
Before Oct 1, 20261% —
Before Nov 1, 20261% —
Kalshi $1.8K 24h · $102K vol
CZ # posts November 10 - November 17, 2026?
20-3947% ▲ 13
40-5931% ▼ 1
<2016% ▼ 8
Polymarket $1.8K 24h · $1.8K vol
Russia military action against EU country by...?
December 31, 20263% ▼ 2
December 31, 202722% ▲ 1
Polymarket $1.7K 24h · $331K vol
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
November 1596% ▲ 2
November 3097% ▲ 2
December 3198% ▲ 1
Polymarket $1.7K 24h · $3.8K vol
What will the NYT front-page headlines say on Sunday? (November 15)
Trump49% ▼ 0
Talarico30% ▲ 19
Putin47% ▲ 37
Polymarket $1.7K 24h · $6.9K vol
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 202692% ▲ 1
December7% ▼ 1
November1% ▼ 1
Polymarket $1.7K 24h · $633K vol
Syrian troops enter Yemen by...?
December 3126% ▲ 5
Polymarket $1.7K 24h · $15.2K vol
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
November 1587% ▲ 5
November 3086% ▲ 1
Polymarket $1.6K 24h · $4.7K vol
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?
December 31, 20263% ▼ 3
March 31, 202718% ▼ 2
Polymarket $1.6K 24h · $305K vol
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
December 3113% ▼ 5
Polymarket $1.6K 24h · $1.1M vol
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
December 31, 20262% —
Polymarket $1.6K 24h · $5.6M vol
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
December 3111% ▲ 1
November 303% —
Polymarket $1.6K 24h · $647K vol
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by...?
December 316% ▼ 2
March 3116% ▼ 6
Polymarket $1.6K 24h · $24.2K vol
CZ # posts November 6 - November 13, 2026?
20-3956% ▲ 13
40-5927% ▼ 7
<2010% ▲ 1
Polymarket $1.6K 24h · $7.0K vol
Ted Cruz # posts November 10 - November 17, 2026?
60-7923% ▲ 4
200+18% ▼ 1
140-15916% ▼ 3
Polymarket $1.5K 24h · $1.5K vol
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
November 3088% ▼ 3
December 3182% ▼ 2
Polymarket $1.5K 24h · $2.6M vol
Kash Patel out by...?
December 3122% ▼ 1
Polymarket $1.5K 24h · $1.8M vol
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by...?
December 3177% ▲ 4
Polymarket $1.5K 24h · $82.1K vol
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) · 11/9 - 11/15
Above 18089% ▲ 88
Above 18580% ▲ 83
Above 19057% ▲ 58
Kalshi $1.4K 24h · $1.4K vol
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?
November 3029% ▼ 31
November 1516% ▼ 20
Polymarket $1.4K 24h · $34.1K vol
Tusk out by December 31?
Tusk out by December 31?4% ▼ 1
Polymarket $1.4K 24h · $42.4K vol
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (11/1-11/7) · 11/1-11/7
At least 2>99% —
At least 3>99% —
At least 4<1% —
Kalshi $1.4K 24h · $38.8K vol
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?13% ▼ 0
Polymarket $1.4K 24h · $45.4K vol
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March?
25 bps increase65% ▲ 1
No Change27%
25 bps decrease7% ▼ 1
Polymarket $1.4K 24h · $30.3K vol
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?1% ▼ 1
Polymarket $1.3K 24h · $71.1K vol
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
December 319%
Polymarket $1.3K 24h · $1.1M vol
Will marijuana be rescheduled? · Lowered from Schedule I
Before Jan 1, 20277% ▼ 2
Before Apr 1, 202740% ▲ 4
Before Jul 1, 202755% ▲ 3
Kalshi $1.3K 24h · $241K vol
How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?
No vote31% ▼ 6
220-22423% ▼ 10
235-23920% ▼ 11
Polymarket $1.3K 24h · $1.6K vol
Who will be arrested before 2027?
James Comey8% —
Anthony Fauci3% —
John Brennan13% ▲ 2
Polymarket $1.2K 24h · $678K vol
Khamenei # posts November 10 - November 17, 2026?
<582% ▲ 13
5-916% ▼ 10
10-144% ▼ 42
Polymarket $1.2K 24h · $1.2K vol
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
December 3113% ▲ 8
Polymarket $1.2K 24h · $245K vol
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?11% ▼ 39
Polymarket $1.2K 24h · $2.0K vol
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
December 3116%
Polymarket $1.2K 24h · $527K vol
Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by...?
December 31, 202611% ▼ 2
March 31, 202724% ▲ 8
Polymarket $1.1K 24h · $12.4K vol
Fed Decision in April?
No change59% ▼ 0
25 bps increase16% ▼ 1
25 bps decrease9%
Polymarket $1.1K 24h · $49.4K vol
US strike on Colombia by...?
December 3116% ▼ 4
Polymarket $1.1K 24h · $2.3M vol
Will Trump insult Hegseth by December 31?
Will Trump insult Hegseth by December 31?18% ▲ 3
Polymarket $1.1K 24h · $13.0K vol
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by...?
December 317%
Polymarket $1.1K 24h · $180K vol
Zelenskyy # posts November 6 - November 13, 2026?
80-9942% ▲ 9
60-7931% ▼ 5
100-11921% ▲ 5
Polymarket $1.1K 24h · $6.4K vol
Putin meets with Iranian officials by...?
November 1511% ▼ 37
November 3031% ▲ 1
December 3162% ▲ 3
Polymarket $1.1K 24h · $1.1K vol
Will a cabinet member be impeached? · Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 202747% ▼ 1
Before Apr 1, 202777% ▲ 6
Before Jul 1, 202789% ▲ 15
Kalshi $1.1K 24h · $92.4K vol
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 26?
190-20999% ▲ 52
170-189<1% ▼ 47
210-229<1% ▼ 21
Polymarket $1.1K 24h · $16.1K vol
Next ECB President?
Pablo Hernández de Cos58% ▲ 4
Klaas Knot37% ▼ 4
Nadia Calviño7% ▲ 2
Polymarket $1.1K 24h · $6.3K vol
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 4.5%11%
Above 5%5%
Above 6%2% —
Polymarket $1.1K 24h · $1.5M vol
Maduro Prison Time?
No prison time62% ▲ 4
60+26%
<204% —
Polymarket $1.1K 24h · $1.1M vol
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez96% —
Edmundo González2% —
Marco Rubio1% —
Polymarket $1.1K 24h · $444K vol
Another commercial vessel struck in Black Sea by…?
November 1557% ▼ 7
November 3075% ▼ 13
December 3177% ▼ 19
Polymarket $1.1K 24h · $1.3K vol
Will Ukraine re-enter Zakitne by...?
December 3126% ▲ 9
Polymarket $1.0K 24h · $8.0K vol
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (11/8 - 11/14) · Nov 8, 2026 to Nov 14, 2026
Above 089% ▲ 89
Above 143% ▲ 44
Above 210% ▲ 13
Kalshi $1.0K 24h · $1.0K vol
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 9?
190-20928% ▲ 1
150-16927%
170-18927%
Polymarket $965 24h · $2.9K vol
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by...?
December 3170% ▼ 2
November 3048% ▲ 11
Polymarket $950 24h · $155K vol
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 334? · On Nov 14, 2026
Yes17% ▼ 5
Kalshi $891 24h · $3.1K vol
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?3% —
Polymarket $881 24h · $3.5M vol
Will the federal minimum wage be raised? · Before 2030
Before 202844% ▼ 13
Before 202971% ▲ 10
Before 203085% ▲ 17
Kalshi $859 24h · $3.2K vol
Will Georgia expand Medicaid? · Before Dec 31, 2028
Yes62% ▲ 47
Kalshi $838 24h · $1.8K vol
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 3123%
Polymarket $837 24h · $670K vol
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?2% —
Polymarket $835 24h · $180K vol
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
North Korea2%
Cuba2% —
Saudi Arabia4%
Polymarket $817 24h · $989K vol
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?9%
Polymarket $809 24h · $3.7M vol
When will Pennsylvania raise its minimum wage? · Before 2029
Before Mar 1, 202793% ▲ 78
Before Apr 1, 202782% ▲ 52
Before Jul 1, 202773% ▲ 13
Kalshi $809 24h · $5.6K vol
Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?
December 3112%
Polymarket $807 24h · $159K vol
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
November 659% ▲ 1
November 776% ▼ 1
November 877% ▼ 8
Polymarket $803 24h · $20.8K vol
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 20263%
June 30, 202714%
December 31, 202720%
Polymarket $800 24h · $906K vol
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?2% ▲ 1
Polymarket $798 24h · $597K vol
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30?
10+28% ▲ 5
20+11% ▼ 4
30+11% ▼ 5
Polymarket $777 24h · $11.4K vol
Khamenei # posts November 6 - November 13, 2026?
<580% ▲ 5
5-918% ▼ 3
10-142% ▼ 2
Polymarket $767 24h · $4.0K vol
Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?
November 303% —
December 3114% ▲ 4
Polymarket $748 24h · $44.9K vol
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
December 315% ▲ 1
Polymarket $747 24h · $3.2M vol
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
35%30% ▼ 1
30%5% —
25%3% —
Polymarket $745 24h · $191K vol
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in November 2026?
4+46%
332% ▲ 1
27% —
Polymarket $743 24h · $14.3K vol
Will the SAVE America Act become law? · Election bill
Before Oct 1, 20261% —
Before Nov 1, 20261% —
Before Dec 1, 20262% ▼ 1
Kalshi $741 24h · $27.3K vol
US files Ilhan Omar denaturalization case by...?
December 3111%
March 3118% ▲ 5
Polymarket $740 24h · $54.3K vol
Will Iran target Jordan by...?
November 3039% ▼ 5
Polymarket $740 24h · $37.5K vol
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Donald Trump5% —
Marco Rubio10%
J.D. Vance30% ▼ 1
Polymarket $737 24h · $2.1M vol
Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment? · Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 202733% ▲ 22
Before Jul 1, 202731% ▼ 1
Before Jan 1, 202845% ▼ 4
Kalshi $735 24h · $40.7K vol
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death) · Before January 20, 2029
Before 20273% ▼ 1
Before 202819% ▼ 2
Before January 20, 202932% —
Kalshi $732 24h · $573K vol
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?3% ▲ 1
Polymarket $729 24h · $76.2K vol
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?1% ▼ 2
Polymarket $719 24h · $17.2K vol
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 312%
Polymarket $718 24h · $22.4M vol
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? · During Trump's term
Before 20272% —
Before January 21, 202917% ▼ 1
Kalshi $706 24h · $498K vol
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...?
December 3154% ▼ 5
Polymarket $672 24h · $173K vol
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
Russia4% —
China3%
Saudi Arabia17% ▼ 4
Polymarket $670 24h · $197K vol
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo4%
Polymarket $668 24h · $665K vol
Will Wisconsin expand Medicaid? · Before Dec 31, 2028
Yes77% ▲ 80
Kalshi $668 24h · $668 vol
What will Trump say in November? · Before Dec 1, 2026
Autism55% ▲ 9
Dividend / Stimulus>99% —
Aluminum86% —
Kalshi $661 24h · $55.1K vol
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?1% —
Polymarket $658 24h · $11.0M vol
Trump approval rating at least ___ on November 13?
37.0+97% —
38.0+96% ▲ 8
39.0+48% ▼ 16
Polymarket $652 24h · $2.9K vol
USMCA extended in 2026?
USMCA extended in 2026?8% ▲ 2
Polymarket $647 24h · $12.4K vol
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Ursula von der Leyen34% ▼ 2
Mark Rutte44% ▲ 9
Emmanuel Macron5%
Polymarket $646 24h · $796K vol
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?
November 52% ▼ 5
November 62% ▼ 26
November 739% ▼ 43
Polymarket $644 24h · $2.8K vol
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/2 - 11/8) · 11/2 - 11/8
November 660% ▲ 14
November 410% ▲ 3
November 510% ▼ 15
Kalshi $643 24h · $8.6K vol
France declares state of emergency by...?
December 313% —
Polymarket $641 24h · $2.8M vol
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
China x Japan military clash before 2027?2% —
Polymarket $640 24h · $1.5M vol
Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?
Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?24% ▼ 6
Polymarket $639 24h · $4.9K vol
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?67% ▲ 3
Polymarket $633 24h · $132K vol
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 20262%
June 30, 202711%
December 31, 202718% ▲ 1
Polymarket $625 24h · $6.4M vol
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?
December 31, 20267% ▲ 1
June 30, 202712% ▲ 2
Polymarket $613 24h · $23.3K vol
Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026? · Before Jan 1, 2027
Yes97% —
Kalshi $611 24h · $165K vol
How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027? · Dec 2025 to Dec 2026
Below 37%>99% —
Below 36%74% ▼ 4
Below 35.5%61% —
Kalshi $609 24h · $191K vol
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
SpaceX7%
Unusual Machines16% ▼ 3
Anduril7% ▲ 1
Polymarket $606 24h · $232K vol
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Pakistan3% ▼ 1
Qatar5% ▲ 1
Turkey3%
Polymarket $589 24h · $1.9M vol
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of November?
25-2942% ▲ 6
30-3431% ▼ 4
35+17% ▲ 2
Polymarket $581 24h · $2.9K vol
Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by...?
June 30, 202711%
December 31, 202717% ▲ 3
June 30, 202828%
Polymarket $579 24h · $30.3K vol
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by...?
December 31, 20267% ▲ 2
June 30, 202719% ▲ 4
December 31, 202728%
Polymarket $568 24h · $183K vol
Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?
November 30, 2026<1% —
December 31, 20265% ▲ 1
March 31, 202712%
Polymarket $567 24h · $32.1K vol
What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?
↑ 46%8%
↑ 44%10%
↑ 42%17% ▲ 1
Polymarket $566 24h · $29.7K vol
What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (November 9)
Hundred / Thousand / Million 30+ times87% ▲ 37
Fuck / Fucking 10+ times87% ▲ 11
Right 50+ times94% ▲ 43
Polymarket $562 24h · $674 vol
Will the cap on gambling loss deduction be changed? · Before Jan 1, 2029
Before Jan 1, 202715% ▲ 3
Before Apr 1, 202725% —
Before Sep 1, 202740% —
Kalshi $562 24h · $68.6K vol
Rahul Gandhi arrested by...?
December 316% ▼ 14
Polymarket $544 24h · $8.9K vol
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?12%
Polymarket $543 24h · $594K vol
Will Iran target Bahrain by...?
November 3037% ▲ 5
Polymarket $543 24h · $10.0K vol
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Nothing96%
Something5%
Polymarket $543 24h · $5.6K vol
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka again by...?
December 3159% ▲ 6
Polymarket $541 24h · $36.0K vol
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/9 - 11/15) · 11/9 - 11/15
November 916% ▲ 15
November 1016% ▲ 15
November 1216% —
Kalshi $534 24h · $534 vol
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? 2% ▼ 4
Polymarket $531 24h · $4.3K vol
Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?
Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?22% ▲ 16
Polymarket $530 24h · $4.3K vol
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?
December 3127% ▼ 4
Polymarket $516 24h · $59.7K vol
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
December 31<1% ▼ 5
Polymarket $513 24h · $2.3M vol
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
Iran3%
Algeria2%
Bahrain30% ▲ 21
Polymarket $512 24h · $84.7K vol
Will the SAVE Act become law? · Before Jan 4, 2027
Before Jan 4, 20271% —
Kalshi $508 24h · $224K vol
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
Rebeca Grynspan23% ▲ 2
Lana Nusseibeh18% ▼ 3
Rafael Grossi14%
Polymarket $506 24h · $260K vol
Houthis enter Aden by...?
December 3114% ▲ 1
November 305% —
Polymarket $497 24h · $784K vol
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?
October 26%
October 496% ▼ 1
October 597% —
Polymarket $493 24h · $166K vol
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
December 3127% ▼ 1
Polymarket $489 24h · $580K vol
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?7% —
Polymarket $480 24h · $673K vol
Who will Trump publicly insult by November 30?
Tucker Carlson59% ▲ 13
Pope Leo XIV2%
Vladimir Putin3% —
Polymarket $476 24h · $17.0K vol
Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...?
November 3098% —
November 1597% —
Polymarket $475 24h · $19.8K vol
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?4% ▼ 1
Polymarket $475 24h · $579K vol
Kash Patel out as FBI Director? · Before Jan 2027
Before Oct 1, 20262% —
Before Nov 1, 20261% —
Before Dec 1, 202610% ▼ 5
Kalshi $475 24h · $28.0K vol
Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?
December 3125% ▲ 4
Polymarket $471 24h · $230K vol
NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?
NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?8% ▼ 10
Polymarket $469 24h · $6.0K vol
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?
December 31, 202624% ▼ 1
Polymarket $461 24h · $172K vol
Iran invades Kuwait by...?
December 313% —
Polymarket $451 24h · $1.1M vol
What will Trump say this week? (November 2 - November 8)
Brazil46%
Christmas24% ▼ 3
Rigged Election23% ▼ 0
Polymarket $450 24h · $17.2K vol
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Mike Lee4% ▼ 1
Catherine Cortez Masto3% —
Mark Warner4% ▼ 1
Polymarket $437 24h · $530K vol
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?4% ▼ 1
Polymarket $434 24h · $21.6K vol
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?
November 3020% ▲ 3
December 3136% ▲ 11
Polymarket $429 24h · $125K vol
How many states will Trump visit in Nov 2026? · in Nov 2026
At least 399% —
At least 499% —
At least 597% ▼ 3
Kalshi $427 24h · $14.3K vol
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?2% —
Polymarket $424 24h · $801K vol
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by...?
December 3112% ▼ 0
March 31, 202739% ▲ 2
November 304% —
Polymarket $415 24h · $136K vol
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?8% ▼ 1
Polymarket $411 24h · $338K vol
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
November 697% ▼ 3
November 891% ▼ 1
November 991% ▲ 5
Polymarket $411 24h · $9.2K vol
Elon Musk meets with Putin by...?
December 314% ▼ 2
March 3116%
Polymarket $410 24h · $5.8K vol
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 319%
Polymarket $409 24h · $3.6M vol
US strike on Mexico by...?
December 313% —
Polymarket $400 24h · $3.5M vol
Showing the 300 most-traded of 851 markets.
Recently resolved
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? · During Trump's term
Susie Wiles99% ▲ 79
Doug Collins4% ▲ 3
Kalshi Resolved
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? · In 2029
Before Sep 20265% —
Before Oct 20262% —
Kalshi Resolved
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president by...?
March 31, 2027100%
December 31, 2026100% ▲ 53
Polymarket Resolved
Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?
November 30, 2026100%
December 31, 2026100%
Polymarket Resolved
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Nov 6, 2026? · on Nov 6 at 10:00 AM ET
Abdul El-Sayed99% ▲ 3
James Talarico1% ▼ 2
Kalshi Resolved
How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026? · in Oct 2026
At least 699% —
At least 899% —
Kalshi Resolved
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 30, 2026? · on Oct 30 at 10:00 AM ET
James Talarico98% ▲ 7
Amy Acton1% ▼ 6
Kalshi Resolved
When will Trump lower tariffs on Canada? · US tariffs on Canada
Before Oct 1, 20262% —
Before Nov 1, 202685% ▲ 65
Kalshi Resolved
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela? · María Corina Machado visit to Venezuela
Before Oct 1, 20261% —
Before Dec 1, 202699% ▲ 82
Kalshi Resolved
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
September 20100% ▲ 3
September 25100% ▲ 1
Polymarket Resolved
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?
October 31100% ▲ 91
December 31100% ▲ 71
Polymarket Resolved
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Susie Wiles100% ▲ 75
None before 20270% ▼ 17
Polymarket Resolved
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
July 310% ▼ 1
August 3150% —
Polymarket Resolved
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by...?
October 31100% ▲ 84
December 31100% ▲ 24
Polymarket Resolved
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
October 31100% ▲ 1
November 30100% —
Polymarket Resolved
Epstein client list released by...?
December 3150% —
July 310%
Polymarket Resolved
Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
June 300% ▼ 0
May 310% —
Polymarket Resolved
Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?
September 300% ▼ 1
December 31100% ▲ 1
Polymarket Resolved
Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?
September 200% —
September 300% ▼ 2
Polymarket Resolved
Putin meets with Iranian officials by...?
October 31100% ▲ 5
December 31100% ▲ 3
Polymarket Resolved
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
October 150% —
October 31100% ▲ 47
Polymarket Resolved
US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by...?
October 31100% ▲ 28
December 31100% ▲ 11
Polymarket Resolved
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?
September 300% ▼ 13
October 31100% ▲ 14
Polymarket Resolved
Curfew in a major French city by...?
October 24100% ▲ 69
October 31100% ▲ 68
Polymarket Resolved
Paris curfew effectively lifted by...?
October 210% ▼ 3
October 240% ▼ 1
Polymarket Resolved
What will Trump say during his remarks at the UP Summit? · Donald Trump - remarks at the UP Summit originally scheduled for November 6, 2026
Golden Age1% ▼ 73
Tesla / SpaceX1% ▼ 67
Kalshi Resolved
What will Trump say during his remarks at the Lincoln Memorial? · Donald Trump - remarks at the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool originally scheduled for November 2, 2026
Stock Market1% ▲ 1
Vandal / Vandalism / Vandalized99% ▲ 99
Kalshi Resolved
What will Trump say during Fox News: Hannity? · Donald Trump - Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for November 2, 2026
Democrat1% ▲ 1
Zohran / Mamdani1% ▲ 1
Kalshi Resolved
What will Trump say during his rally in Dubuque, Iowa? · Donald Trump - midterm rally in Dubuque, Iowa originally scheduled for November 1, 2026
Save America Act99% ▲ 5
China / Chinese99% ▲ 12
Kalshi Resolved
What will Trump say during his rally in Salina, Kansas? · Donald Trump - midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026
Transgender99% ▲ 15
Save America Act99% ▲ 7
Kalshi Resolved