Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026 Odds · before 2027
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kash Patel | 21% | +388 | ▼ 5 | 23% |
| Pete Hegseth | 38% | +163 | — | 42% |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 17% | +506 | ▼ 7 | 14% |
| Susie Wiles ✓ | >99% | -99900 | — | — |
| Peter Navarro | 20% | +400 | — | — |
| Howard Lutnick | 19% | +441 | ▼ 2 | 17% |
| Scott Bessent | 9% | +1017 | ▲ 1 | 8% |
| Jamieson Greer | 15% | +567 | ▼ 1 | — |
| Tom Homan | 9% | +987 | ▼ 1 | 6% |
| Marco Rubio | 17% | +506 | ▼ 3 | 12% |
| Lee Zeldin | 10% | +866 | ▲ 1 | 8% |
| Sean Duffy | 13% | +700 | ▼ 1 | — |
| Linda McMahon | 24% | +317 | ▲ 4 | — |
| Russell Vought | 12% | +770 | ▼ 2 | 9% |
| Stephen Miller | 97% | -3126 | ▲ 1 | 6% |
| Amy Gleason | 49% | +106 | ▼ 23 | — |
| Steve Witkoff | 21% | +388 | ▼ 9 | — |
| Mike Huckabee | 24% | +326 | ▲ 1 | — |
| Mehmet Oz | 15% | +590 | ▲ 5 | — |
| Brendan Carr | 6% | +1702 | ▼ 7 | — |
| Bill Pulte | 18% | +456 | — | — |
| JD Vance | 0% | — | — | — |
| Brooke Rollins | 6% | +1513 | ▼ 20 | — |
| Chris Wright | 19% | +426 | ▼ 1 | — |
| Scott Turner | 17% | +506 | ▲ 2 | — |
| Doug Burgum | 16% | +545 | ▲ 1 | — |
| Doug Collins | 20% | +413 | ▲ 2 | — |
| Kelly Loeffler | 35% | +190 | ▼ 2 | — |
| John Ratcliffe | 14% | +614 | ▼ 3 | 12% |
| Rodney Scott | 16% | +545 | ▼ 1 | — |
| Steven Cheung | 43% | +135 | ▲ 9 | — |
| Ric Grenell ✓ | 52% | -108 | — | — |
| Kevin Hassett | 16% | +545 | ▼ 5 | — |
| Tilman Fertitta | 15% | +567 | ▲ 8 | — |
| Joe Gebbia | 17% | +488 | ▲ 3 | — |
| Mike Waltz | 15% | +567 | ▼ 3 | — |
| Sergio Gor | 43% | +135 | ▼ 55 | — |
| Brad Cooper | 28% | +257 | ▼ 5 | — |
| Dan Caine | 24% | +326 | ▼ 6 | — |
| Christopher Landau | 27% | +270 | ▼ 51 | — |
Showing the top 40 of 45 outcomes.
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Price history
On Polymarket
The same question also trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If Kash Patel leaves as Director of the FBI before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
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