When will Trump lower tariffs on Canada Odds · US tariffs on Canada
This market has resolved: Before Nov 1, 2026. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 ✓ | 85% | -567 | ▲ 65 |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 54 |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 52 |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 88 |
Resolution rules
If Donald Trump has taken any presidential action reducing, removing, or suspending an existing tariff on imports from Canada, with a specified effective date, through a new policy decision officially announced by Donald Trump after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 8, 2027 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on When will Trump lower tariffs on Canada?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.