María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by... Odds
This market has resolved: December 31. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 31 | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| August 31 | 50% | -100 | — |
| September 30 | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| December 31 ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 67 |
| August 31 | 0% | — | — |
| January 31 | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| October 31 ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 89 |
| March 31 | 0% | — | ▼ 0 |
| January 9 | 0% | — | — |
| October 15 | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| January 24 | 50% | -100 | — |
| March 8 | 0% | — | — |
| April 30 | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| May 31 | 0% | — | — |
| June 30 | 0% | — | ▼ 3 |
Resolution rules
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and Janaury 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.