Number of North Korea Missile Tests in November 2026 Odds
Polymarket traders give 4+ a 46% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4+ | 46% | +117 | — |
| 3 | 32% | +212 | ▲ 1 |
| 2 | 7% | +1360 | — |
| 1 | 3% | +3233 | — |
| <1 | <1% | +39900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during November 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Number of North Korea Missile Tests in November 2026?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 4+ at 46%, about +117 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Dec 1, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Number of North Korea Missile Tests in November 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.