Will Wisconsin expand Medicaid Odds · Before Dec 31, 2028
Kalshi traders give “Yes” a 77% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 77% | -335 | ▲ 80 |
| No | 23% | +335 | ▼ 80 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If legislation expanding Medicaid eligibility to adults with incomes up to 138% of the federal poverty level is enacted in Wisconsin before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will Wisconsin expand Medicaid"?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Yes at 77%, about -335 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 7, 2029 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will Wisconsin expand Medicaid?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.