What companies will Trump say in November Odds · Before Dec 1, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla / TSLA | 64% | -178 | — |
| Apple / AAPL | >99% | -19900 | — |
| Intel / INTC ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| SpaceX / SPCX | 94% | -1567 | — |
| Anthropic / Claude | 49% | +104 | — |
| ChatGPT / OpenAI | 37% | +170 | — |
| CNN ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Fox News | >99% | -19900 | — |
| New York Times / NYT ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Nvidia / NVDA | 92% | -1150 | — |
| Boeing ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| TSMC / TSM | 62% | -163 | — |
| Airbnb / ABNB | 14% | +614 | — |
| Meta | 47% | +113 | — |
| Dell | 50% | -100 | ▼ 23 |
| TikTok | 61% | -156 | — |
| Deere ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Micron / MU | 73% | -270 | — |
| Microsoft / MSFT | 38% | +163 | ▼ 2 |
| Amazon / AMZN | 77% | -335 | ▲ 4 |
| DoorDash / DASH | 16% | +525 | ▼ 22 |
| ExxonMobil / XOM | 61% | -156 | ▲ 38 |
| Google / GOOG / GOOGL ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Pfizer / PFE | >99% | -19900 | — |
| Rigetti / RGTI | 3% | +3233 | — |
| General Motors / GM | 96% | -2122 | — |
| BlackRock | 41% | +144 | ▲ 11 |
| Toyota ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Verizon | 13% | +700 | — |
| MS NOW / MSNBC | 64% | -178 | ▼ 11 |
| Eli Lilly / LLY | >99% | -19900 | — |
| Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz | 65% | -186 | ▲ 13 |
| Honda / HMC | 63% | -170 | — |
| Qualcomm / QCOM | 16% | +525 | — |
| X / Twitter | >99% | -19900 | — |
| AMD | 41% | +144 | — |
| Caterpillar | 35% | +186 | — |
| Mastercard | 15% | +567 | — |
| Turning Point | 34% | +194 | — |
| IBM | 55% | -122 | ▲ 4 |
Showing the top 40 of 53 outcomes.
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Tesla / TSLA, or a plural or possessive form of Tesla / TSLA, is stated by Donald Trump before Dec 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 1, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on What companies will Trump say in November?
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