How many vulnerabilities will CISA add to the KEV catalog in Nov 2026 Odds · Nov 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 10 | 96% | -2122 | — |
| At least 15 | 89% | -770 | — |
| At least 20 | 65% | -182 | ▼ 1 |
| At least 25 | 37% | +174 | ▼ 9 |
| At least 30 | 27% | +277 | — |
| At least 35 | 18% | +471 | ▲ 1 |
| At least 40 | 11% | +852 | — |
| At least 45 | 6% | +1567 | — |
| At least 50 | 5% | +2122 | — |
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Resolution rules
If CISA adds at least 10 vulnerabilities to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities Catalog with a Date Added from Nov 1, 2026 through Nov 30, 2026 (as checked at cisa.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 1, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
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Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 1, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
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