What will Trump say during his rally in Salina, Kansas Odds · Donald Trump - midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026
This market has resolved: Transgender. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Transgender ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 15 |
| Save America Act ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 7 |
| Farm / Farmer ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 7 |
| Tariff (3+ times) ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 8 |
| Nuclear (3+ times) ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 17 |
| Iran (5+ times) ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 16 |
| China / Chinese ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 21 |
| Made in America / American Made ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 28 |
| Fraud (3+ times) ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 44 |
| Hormuz ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 19 |
| Steel | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 67 |
| Kamala ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 36 |
| Small Business ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 45 |
| ICE | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 49 |
| Supreme Court | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 30 |
| Aircraft / Aviation | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 48 |
| Diesel ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 15 |
| Ethanol | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 11 |
| Water | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 34 |
| Russia / Ukraine ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 64 |
| Boeing ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 53 |
| Cattle ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 49 |
| Corn | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 29 |
| Insurance | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 25 |
| Veteran | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 14 |
| NATO | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 8 |
| Data Center | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 21 |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 13 |
| Windmill | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 25 |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 9 |
| Fentanyl | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 6 |
| Social Security (5+ times) | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 10 |
| Trump Account | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 3 |
| Ceasefire | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 3 |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 |
| Event does not qualify | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 3 |
| Maduro ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Ilhan / Omar ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Drill Baby Drill | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Bessent | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
Price history
Resolution rules
If Donald Trump says Transgender as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 14, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on What will Trump say during his rally in Salina, Kansas?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.