AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82New Zealand general election winner: National 37% ▼ 61Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 72% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 82% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23"Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Off… 57% ▲ 22ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 78% ▲ 21Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 44% ▲ 20Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 62% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 32% ▼ 18Who will receive the second mandate to form … 57% ▲ 18Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 84% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” … 30% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Midterm 74% ▼ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82New Zealand general election winner: National 37% ▼ 61Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 72% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 82% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23"Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Off… 57% ▲ 22ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 78% ▲ 21Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 44% ▲ 20Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 62% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 32% ▼ 18Who will receive the second mandate to form … 57% ▲ 18Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 84% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” … 30% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Midterm 74% ▼ 16

Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner Odds

Polymarket traders give Kimi Antonelli a 39% chance.

Polymarket Volume $157K 24h $119K Liquidity $820K Ends Nov 15, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Kimi Antonelli
39% +156 ▲ 3
Lando Norris
31% +223 ▲ 15
Max Verstappen
13% +700 ▼ 23
George Russell
9% +1049 ▲ 5
Charles Leclerc
2% +4551 ▼ 2
Lewis Hamilton
2% +5456 ▼ 6
Isack Hadjar
2% +6352 ▲ 1
Oscar Piastri
1% +8991 ▼ 1
Liam Lawson
<1% +18082 —
Nico Hulkenberg
<1% +22122 —
Pierre Gasly
<1% +49900 —
Fernando Alonso
<1% +66567 —
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1% +66567 —
Arvid Lindblad
<1% +66567 —
Alexander Albon
<1% +199900 —
Sergio Perez
<1% +199900 —
Esteban Ocon
<1% +199900 —
Franco Colapinto
<1% +199900 —
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1% +199900 —
Valtteri Bottas
<1% +199900 —
Oliver Bearman
<1% +199900 —
Lance Stroll
<1% +199900 —
Yuki Tsunoda
<1% +199900 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 10 Nov 8
Kimi AntonelliLando NorrisMax VerstappenGeorge Russell

Resolution rules

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 8, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 15, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner?

As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Kimi Antonelli at 39%, about +156 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Nov 15, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.