ATP Paris Winner Odds · 2026 ATP Paris
Kalshi traders give Carlos Alcaraz a 78% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 78% | -355 | ▲ 21 |
| Ben Shelton | 24% | +317 | ▼ 9 |
| Rinky Hijikata | 12% | +733 | — |
| Nuno Borges | 10% | +900 | — |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 9% | +1011 | — |
| Jiri Lehecka | 9% | +1011 | — |
| Arthur Gea | 9% | +1011 | — |
| Frances Tiafoe | 8% | +1150 | — |
| Alex de Minaur | 7% | +1329 | — |
| Ignacio Buse | 6% | +1567 | — |
| Quentin Halys | 6% | +1567 | — |
| Arthur Rinderknech | 5% | +1900 | — |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | 5% | +1900 | — |
| Learner Tien | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Ugo Humbert | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Alexander Zverev | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Daniil Medvedev | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Arthur Fils | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Rafael Jodar | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Novak Djokovic | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Taylor Fritz | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Tommy Paul | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Casper Ruud | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 6 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Alex Michelsen | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Luca Van Assche | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 10 |
| Flavio Cobolli | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Brandon Nakashima | 0% | — | — |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 0% | — | — |
| Andrey Rublev | 0% | — | — |
| Luciano Darderi | 0% | — | — |
| Karen Khachanov | 0% | — | — |
| Alexander Blockx | 0% | — | — |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 0% | — | — |
| Alejandro Tabilo | 0% | — | — |
| Valentin Vacherot | 0% | — | — |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0% | — | — |
| Arthur Fery | 0% | — | — |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 0% | — | — |
Showing the top 40 of 59 outcomes.
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Alexander Zverev wins the 2026 ATP Paris professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in ATP Paris Winner?
As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Carlos Alcaraz at 78%, about -355 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 28, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on ATP Paris Winner?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.