Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/9 - 11/15) Odds · 11/9 - 11/15
Kalshi traders give November 9 a 16% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 9 | 16% | +545 | ▲ 15 |
| November 10 | 16% | +545 | ▲ 15 |
| November 12 | 16% | +545 | — |
| November 13 | 16% | +545 | — |
| November 14 | 16% | +545 | — |
| November 15 | 16% | +545 | ▲ 16 |
| November 11 | 15% | +590 | ▲ 14 |
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Resolution rules
If Nov 9, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/9 - 11/15)?
As of Nov 8, 6:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price November 9 at 16%, about +545 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 17, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/9 - 11/15)?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.