What will Trump say this week Odds · Before Nov 9, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend / Stimulus | 16% | +545 | ▲ 4 |
| Superintelligence / Super Intelligence ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Vivek / Ramaswamy ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Blockade ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Melania | 31% | +223 | ▲ 1 |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | 96% | -2122 | ▲ 32 |
| Ilhan / Omar | 54% | -120 | ▲ 31 |
| Canada / Canadian ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Bibi / Netanyahu ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Ethanol | 5% | +2122 | — |
| Moon | >99% | -19900 | — |
| Diesel | 53% | -111 | ▲ 23 |
| GDP | 25% | +300 | ▼ 3 |
| Nobel | 35% | +186 | ▲ 30 |
| Mortgage | 39% | +156 | ▲ 22 |
| Ceasefire | 19% | +426 | ▲ 10 |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | 5% | +1900 | ▼ 1 |
| Cuba / Cuban | >99% | -19900 | — |
| Refinery | 19% | +441 | ▲ 2 |
| Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice | >99% | -19900 | ▲ 1 |
| Zohran / Mamdani | 21% | +388 | ▲ 5 |
| Third Term | 15% | +567 | ▼ 3 |
| Houthi | 17% | +488 | ▲ 10 |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | 10% | +953 | ▲ 6 |
| Antifa | 9% | +1011 | ▲ 8 |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 9% | +1076 | ▲ 4 |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | 6% | +1718 | ▲ 3 |
| Finland / Finnish | 7% | +1438 | ▼ 2 |
| Tomahawk ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Soleimani ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Epstein | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 2 |
| Uranium | 13% | +669 | ▲ 4 |
| Quantum | 20% | +413 | ▲ 8 |
| Cybersecurity / Cyber Security | 7% | +1438 | ▲ 4 |
| UFO / UAP | 24% | +317 | ▲ 24 |
| Peace in the Middle East | 7% | +1329 | ▲ 4 |
| Golden Dome | 7% | +1329 | ▲ 2 |
| Prediction Market / Predictive Market | 7% | +1329 | ▲ 7 |
| Make Iran Great Again | <1% | +19900 | ▼ 1 |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
On Polymarket
A similar market trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If Dividend / Stimulus, or a plural or possessive form of Dividend / Stimulus, is stated by Donald Trump after November 2, 2026 at 12:00am ET and before Nov 9, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 9, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on What will Trump say this week?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.