Nothing Ever Happens: November Odds
Polymarket traders give Nothing a 96% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing | 96% | -2122 | — |
| Something | 5% | +2122 | — |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - Bitcoin all time high - Any G7 leader out (Carney, Macron, Merz, Meloni, Takaichi, Burnham, Trump) - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Putin out as President of Russia - Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president - Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/November_NEH.pdf
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Nothing Ever Happens: November?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Nothing at 96%, about -2122 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Dec 1, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Nothing Ever Happens: November?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.