Will Trump be impeached before his term ends Odds
Polymarket traders give “Yes” a 67% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67% | -199 | ▲ 3 |
| No | 34% | +199 | ▼ 3 |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
On Kalshi
A similar market trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends"?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Yes at 67%, about -199 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 20, 2029 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.