Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31 Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Korea | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Cuba | 2% | +5305 | — |
| Saudi Arabia | 4% | +2640 | — |
| Lebanon | 5% | +1900 | ▼ 0 |
| Afghanistan | 2% | +5782 | — |
| Iraq | 1% | +8596 | — |
| Pakistan | 3% | +2977 | — |
| Syria | 2% | +5305 | — |
| Venezuela | 6% | +1718 | — |
| Tunisia | 2% | +5961 | — |
| Kuwait | 3% | +3025 | — |
| Qatar | 3% | +3674 | — |
| Indonesia | 3% | +3075 | — |
| Malaysia | 3% | +3822 | — |
| Bangladesh | <1% | +14186 | — |
| Iran | <1% | +10426 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
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