AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82New Zealand general election winner: National 37% ▼ 61Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 72% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 82% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23"Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Off… 57% ▲ 22ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 78% ▲ 21Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 44% ▲ 20Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 62% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 32% ▼ 18Who will receive the second mandate to form … 57% ▲ 18Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 84% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” … 30% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Midterm 74% ▼ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82New Zealand general election winner: National 37% ▼ 61Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 72% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 82% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23"Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Off… 57% ▲ 22ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 78% ▲ 21Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 44% ▲ 20Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 62% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 32% ▼ 18Who will receive the second mandate to form … 57% ▲ 18Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 84% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” … 30% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Midterm 74% ▼ 16

Heisman Trophy Winner Odds · 2026-27 season

Kalshi traders give CJ Carr a 34% chance.

Kalshi Volume $2.2M 24h $193K Ends Jan 1, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
CJ Carr
34% +199 ▲ 18
Jeremiah Smith
23% +344 ▼ 16
Darian Mensah
23% +344 ▼ 7
Drew Mestemaker
6% +1718 ▲ 3
Devon Dampier
6% +1718 ▲ 4
Gunner Stockton
3% +3900 ▲ 2
Keelon Russell
3% +3900 —
LaNorris Sellers
2% +6567 ▲ 1
Julian Sayin
<1% +19900 —
Malachi Toney
<1% +19900 —
Arch Manning
<1% +19900 —
Trinidad Chambliss
<1% +19900 ▼ 8
Ahmad Hardy
<1% +19900 —
Marcel Reed
<1% +19900 —
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
<1% +19900 —
Kewan Lacy
<1% +19900 —
Jayden Maiava
<1% +19900 —
Bo Jackson
<1% +19900 —
Demond Williams Jr.
<1% +19900 —
Brendan Sorsby
<1% +19900 —
Bryce Underwood
<1% +19900 —
Dante Moore
<1% +19900 —
Josh Hoover
<1% +19900 —
Byrum Brown
<1% +19900 —
John Mateer
<1% +19900 —
Sam Leavitt
<1% +19900 ▼ 4
Rocco Becht
<1% +19900 —
Austin Mack
<1% +19900 —
Kevin Jennings
<1% +19900 —
Will Hammond
<1% +19900 —
Jadan Baugh
<1% +19900 —
Kamario Taylor
<1% +19900 —
Faizon Brandon
<1% +19900 —
CJ Bailey
<1% +19900 —
Colin Simmons
<1% +19900 —
Bear Bachmeier
<1% +19900 —
William “Pop” Watson III
<1% +19900 —
Lincoln Kienholz
<1% +19900 —
Mason Heintschel
<1% +19900 —
Wayne Knight
<1% +19900 —

Showing the top 40 of 50 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 2 Nov 8
CJ CarrJeremiah SmithDarian MensahDrew Mestemaker

Resolution rules

If Jeremiah Smith wins the College Football Heisman Trophy in the 2026-2027 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in Heisman Trophy Winner?

As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price CJ Carr at 34%, about +199 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Heisman Trophy Winner?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.