AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82New Zealand general election winner: National 37% ▼ 61Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 72% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 82% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23"Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Off… 57% ▲ 22ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 78% ▲ 21Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 44% ▲ 20Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 62% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 32% ▼ 18Who will receive the second mandate to form … 57% ▲ 18Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 84% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” … 30% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Midterm 74% ▼ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82New Zealand general election winner: National 37% ▼ 61Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 72% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 82% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23"Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Off… 57% ▲ 22ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 78% ▲ 21Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 44% ▲ 20Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 62% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 32% ▼ 18Who will receive the second mandate to form … 57% ▲ 18Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 84% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” … 30% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Midterm 74% ▼ 16

College Football Playoff Qualifiers Odds · 2026-27

Kalshi Volume $1.1M 24h $73.1K Ends Dec 15, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Ohio St.
14% +641 ▼ 37
Texas
73% -264 ▲ 17
Notre Dame
94% -1438 ▲ 12
Indiana
85% -567 ▲ 1
Oregon
28% +264 ▲ 19
Georgia
99% -9900 ▲ 7
LSU
26% +292 ▼ 34
Texas Tech
35% +186 ▼ 1
Texas A&M
<1% +19900 —
Miami (FL)
93% -1329 ▲ 1
Alabama
93% -1233 ▲ 28
Oklahoma
2% +6567 ▲ 1
USC
25% +300 ▲ 2
Ole Miss
35% +186 ▼ 21
Michigan
<1% +19900 —
Tennessee
47% +115 ▲ 17
Utah
84% -506 ▲ 16
Penn St.
<1% +19900 —
Auburn
1% +9900 —
Missouri
4% +2757 ▼ 11
Florida
3% +3900 ▼ 13
BYU
21% +376 ▼ 15
Washington
<1% +19900 —
Iowa
27% +277 ▲ 9
Virginia
<1% +19900 —
Clemson
5% +1900 ▲ 2
Vanderbilt
<1% +19900 —
SMU
8% +1233 ▲ 3
Louisville
6% +1718 ▼ 3
Florida St.
<1% +19900 —
Arizona
12% +733 ▲ 1
South Carolina
13% +669 ▲ 4
Arkansas
<1% +19900 —
Georgia Tech
<1% +19900 —
Pittsburgh
<1% +19900 —
Kansas St.
<1% +19900 —
Baylor
4% +2400 —
Kentucky
32% +212 ▼ 10
California
<1% +19900 —
Illinois
2% +6567 —

Showing the top 40 of 60 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 2 Nov 8
Ohio St.

Resolution rules

If Ohio St. is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Dec 15, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on College Football Playoff Qualifiers?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.