Next Secretary-General of the United Nations Odds
Polymarket traders give Rebeca Grynspan a 23% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rebeca Grynspan | 23% | +335 | ▲ 2 |
| Lana Nusseibeh | 18% | +471 | ▼ 2 |
| Rafael Grossi | 14% | +627 | ▼ 1 |
| Olara Otunnu | 10% | +895 | ▼ 2 |
| María Fernanda Espinosa | 7% | +1299 | — |
| Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett | 5% | +1962 | — |
| Michelle Bachelet | 2% | +5614 | ▼ 0 |
| Macky Sall | 2% | +6150 | — |
| Viktor Orbán | 1% | +8991 | — |
| Ivonne de Baki | <1% | +66567 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Rebeca Grynspan at 23%, about +335 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jul 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.