Trump's RCP approval average on Nov 8, 2026 Odds · On Nov 8, 2026
Kalshi traders give 39.1% a 77% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39.1% | 77% | -335 | ▲ 75 |
| 38.9% | 13% | +700 | ▲ 14 |
| 39.0% | 8% | +1233 | ▲ 9 |
| Below 38.8% | 6% | +1567 | ▲ 4 |
| 39.2% | 5% | +1900 | ▲ 7 |
| 38.8% | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| 39.3% | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| 39.4% | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Above 39.4% | 1% | +9900 | ▲ 4 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Trump's RCP approval average on Nov 8, 2026?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price 39.1% at 77%, about -335 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 8, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Trump's RCP approval average on Nov 8, 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.