SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...? Odds
Polymarket traders give No a 88% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 13% | +700 | ▼ 5 |
| No | 88% | -700 | ▲ 6 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities. The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?"?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price No at 88%, about -700 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...??
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