Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government Odds · Before Jan 1, 2027
Kalshi traders give Gadi Eisenkot a >99% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eisenkot | >99% | -19900 | ▲ 2 |
| Amir Ohana | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Avigdor Lieberman | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Naftali Bennett | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Yair Golan | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Yair Lapid | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
On Polymarket
A similar market trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If the President of Israel gives Amir Ohana the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Gadi Eisenkot at >99%, about -19900 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 8, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.