"Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office Odds
Polymarket traders give 400m+ a 57% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 400m+ | 57% | -135 | ▲ 22 |
| 360m-400m | 24% | +326 | ▼ 9 |
| 300m-340m | 11% | +809 | ▼ 3 |
| 340m-360m | 8% | +1150 | ▼ 3 |
| 260m-300m | 2% | +4067 | — |
| <260m | <1% | +19900 | ▼ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to how much "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If "Avengers: Doomsday" is not released, or there is no final data available, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office?
As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 400m+ at 57%, about -135 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Dec 20, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.