Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by... Odds
Polymarket traders give No a 86% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 14% | +590 | ▼ 2 |
| No | 86% | -590 | ▲ 3 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by..."?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price No at 86%, about -590 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 1, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by...?
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