AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 22% ▼ 28Who will receive the second mandate to form … 67% ▲ 27Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 24Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 42% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 45% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 78% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 76% ▲ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 74% ▲ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 22% ▼ 28Who will receive the second mandate to form … 67% ▲ 27Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 24Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 42% ▲ 23NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 71% ▲ 19Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 45% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 78% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 18Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 76% ▲ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 74% ▲ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15

What will Trump say during his rally in Dubuque, Iowa Odds · Donald Trump - midterm rally in Dubuque, Iowa originally scheduled for November 1, 2026

This market has resolved: Save America Act. Final prices are below.

Kalshi Volume $570K Ended Nov 15, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 6:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Save America Act ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 5
China / Chinese ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 12
America First ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 8
Nuclear (3+ times) ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 13
Tariff (3+ times) ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 12
Iran (5+ times) ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 16
Made in America / American Made ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 23
Supreme Court
1% +9900 ▼ 43
Russia / Ukraine ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 60
ICE ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 41
Steel ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 15
Hormuz
1% +9900 ▼ 77
Kamala ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 47
Small Business ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 32
Gulf of America
1% +9900 ▼ 50
Canada / Canadian ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 12
Blockade
1% +9900 ▼ 20
Ethanol
1% +9900 ▼ 81
Greenland ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 89
Corn ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 78
Veteran
1% +9900 ▼ 19
Elon / Musk
1% +9900 ▼ 14
Fraud (3+ times)
1% +9900 ▼ 78
Space Force
1% +9900 ▼ 15
Israel / Israeli
1% +9900 ▼ 15
Electricity
1% +9900 ▼ 28
Data Center
1% +9900 ▼ 13
AI / Artificial Intelligence
1% +9900 ▼ 8
Cattle
1% +9900 ▼ 12
Trump Account
1% +9900 ▼ 5
Deport / Deported / Deportation
1% +9900 ▼ 11
Ceasefire
1% +9900 ▼ 3
Social Security (5+ times)
1% +9900 ▼ 7
Fentanyl
1% +9900 ▼ 5
Windmill
1% +9900 ▼ 16
Palestine / Palestinian
1% +9900 ▼ 5
Crypto / Bitcoin
1% +9900 ▼ 1
Peace in the Middle East
1% +9900 —
Event does not qualify
1% +9900 ▼ 1
Bessent
1% +9900 ▲ 1

Showing the top 40 of 43 outcomes.

Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 27 Nov 2
Save America Act

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump says Save America Act as part of midterm rally in Dubuque, Iowa originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 15, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.

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