Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next Odds · During Trump's term
This market has resolved: Susie Wiles. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Susie Wiles ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 79 |
| Doug Collins | 4% | +2400 | ▲ 3 |
| Mike Waltz | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Linda McMahon | 3% | +3233 | ▲ 1 |
| Doug Burgum | 2% | +4900 | ▼ 1 |
| Brooke Rollins | 2% | +4900 | ▲ 1 |
| Kelly Loeffler | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Scott Turner | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Sean Duffy | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Chris Wright | 2% | +4900 | ▲ 1 |
| John Ratcliffe | 2% | +4900 | ▲ 1 |
| Jamieson Greer | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Todd Blanche | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Jay Clayton | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Marco Rubio | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 22 |
| Scott Bessent | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Pete Hegseth | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 52 |
| Markwayne Mullin | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Howard Lutnick | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 2 |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 |
| Michael Kratsios | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 |
| Lee Zeldin | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 |
| Russell Vought | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Christopher Phelan | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Keith Sonderling | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 |
Price history
Resolution rules
If Marco Rubio is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being removed from office) after May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 20, 2029 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
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