Next Senate Majority Leader Odds
Polymarket traders give Chuck Schumer a 92% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Schumer | 92% | -1076 | ▲ 6 |
| Chris Van Hollen | 4% | +2173 | ▼ 6 |
| Brian Schatz | 3% | +2841 | — |
| Cory Booker | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Amy Klobuchar | <1% | +66567 | — |
| John Thune | <1% | +199900 | — |
| John Barrasso | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Steve Daines | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Tom Cotton | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Patty Murray | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Mark Kelly | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
On Kalshi
A similar market trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Next Senate Majority Leader?
As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Chuck Schumer at 92%, about -1076 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 4, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Next Senate Majority Leader?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.