120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader Odds · In 2027
Kalshi traders give Chuck Schumer a 91% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Schumer | 91% | -953 | ▲ 6 |
| Chris Van Hollen | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 6 |
| Elissa Slotkin | 5% | +1900 | ▲ 8 |
| Brian Schatz | 2% | +4900 | ▼ 2 |
| John Thune | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Tom Cotton | <1% | +19900 | — |
| John Barrasso | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
On Polymarket
A similar market trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If Chuck Schumer wins the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?
As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Chuck Schumer at 91%, about -953 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 3, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.