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Will the House pass a D.C. statehood bill Odds · Before Jan 1, 2028

Kalshi traders give “Yes” a 59% chance.

Kalshi Volume $5.5K 24h $2.2K Ends Jan 1, 2028 Updated Nov 8, 5:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Yes
59% -141 ▼ 2
No
42% +141 ▲ 2

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 6 Nov 7
Yes

Resolution rules

If a D.C. statehood bill has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

What are the odds of "Will the House pass a D.C. statehood bill"?

As of Nov 8, 5:00 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Yes at 59%, about -141 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Will the House pass a D.C. statehood bill?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.