Will the House pass a bill to restore ACA subsidies Odds · Before Jan 1, 2028
Kalshi traders give “Yes” a 94% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 94% | -1438 | ▲ 94 |
| No | 6% | +1438 | ▼ 94 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If a bill restoring or extending the enhanced ACA premium tax credits has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will the House pass a bill to restore ACA subsidies"?
As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Yes at 94%, about -1438 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will the House pass a bill to restore ACA subsidies?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.