Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026 Odds · Dec 31, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edmundo González | 1% | +6797 | — |
| María Corina Machado | 1% | +9424 | — |
| Donald Trump | 1% | +7592 | — |
| Delcy Rodríguez | 9% | +1011 | ▼ 2 |
| Jorge Rodríguez | 1% | +7307 | — |
| Nicolás Maduro | 92% | -1083 | ▲ 4 |
| Vladimir Padrino López | 1% | +7592 | — |
| Evan Pettus | <1% | +33233 | — |
| Frank Donovan | <1% | +28471 | — |
| Dan Caine | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Marco Rubio | <1% | +10426 | — |
| Pete Hegseth | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Richard Grenell | <1% | +22122 | — |
| Dinorah Figuera | <1% | +16567 | — |
| Diosdado Cabello Rondón | 1% | +7900 | — |
| Stephen Miller | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Miguel Rodríguez Torres | <1% | +22122 | — |
| Juan Guaidó | <1% | +24900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Edmundo González Urrutia officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.