Who will be the next Speaker of the Knesset Odds
Polymarket traders give Yair Lapid a 59% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yair Lapid | 59% | -141 | ▲ 18 |
| Matan Kahana | 23% | +335 | ▲ 6 |
| Gadi Eisenkot | 23% | +335 | ▲ 9 |
| Yariv Levin | 23% | +344 | ▲ 6 |
| Elazar Stern | 22% | +355 | ▲ 6 |
| Gilad Kariv | 11% | +809 | — |
| Eitan Ginzburg | 8% | +1233 | ▼ 1 |
| Hili Tropper | 6% | +1567 | ▼ 11 |
| No speaker by Feb 28 | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 10 |
| Eli Cohen | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 11 |
| Mickey Levy | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 11 |
| David Amsalem | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 4 |
| Avi Dichter | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 11 |
| Ofir Katz | 5% | +1823 | ▼ 6 |
| Oded Forer | 5% | +1823 | ▼ 7 |
| Naftali Bennett | 5% | +1842 | ▼ 13 |
| Miki Zohar | 5% | +1842 | ▼ 11 |
| Orna Barbivai | 5% | +1842 | ▼ 11 |
| Amir Ohana | 5% | +1880 | — |
| Orit Farkash-Hacohen | 5% | +1900 | ▼ 4 |
| Ahmad Tibi | 5% | +2122 | ▼ 11 |
| Merav Ben Ari | 4% | +2253 | ▼ 1 |
| Yuli Edelstein | 2% | +4662 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Following the Israeli legislative election scheduled for October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold an internal election for the position of Speaker of the Knesset. This market will resolve according to the name of the candidate that becomes Speaker of the Knesset as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Speakers appointed before the election will not count. If this election does not take place or the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No speaker by Feb 28". This market will resolve based on official information from the Knesset or a consensus of credible reporting.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Who will be the next Speaker of the Knesset?
As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Yair Lapid at 59%, about -141 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Mar 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Who will be the next Speaker of the Knesset?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.