Who will announce Presidential run before 2028 Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Newsom | 82% | -456 | ▼ 3 |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 65% | -182 | ▲ 5 |
| Pete Buttigieg | 96% | -2369 | ▼ 0 |
| Josh Shapiro | 71% | -245 | ▲ 4 |
| Wes Moore | 77% | -335 | ▼ 1 |
| Stephen A. Smith | 19% | +426 | — |
| Kamala Harris | 59% | -141 | ▼ 0 |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 33% | +208 | ▲ 1 |
| Andy Beshear | 91% | -981 | — |
| Jon Ossoff | 59% | -141 | — |
| Mark Cuban | 18% | +471 | ▼ 7 |
| J.B. Pritzker | 83% | -488 | ▲ 2 |
| Raphael Warnock | 60% | -150 | ▼ 3 |
| Cory Booker | 67% | -203 | ▲ 8 |
| Tim Walz | 5% | +1752 | ▼ 0 |
| Michelle Obama | 12% | +770 | ▼ 0 |
| Mark Kelly | 71% | -239 | ▼ 2 |
| Rahm Emanuel | 82% | -456 | ▼ 5 |
| Gina Raimondo | 24% | +326 | — |
| Zohran Mamdani | 8% | +1233 | — |
| Roy Cooper | 16% | +545 | ▼ 1 |
| John Fetterman | 23% | +335 | ▲ 2 |
| Jared Polis | 21% | +388 | ▼ 17 |
| Jon Stewart | 12% | +733 | — |
| Barack Obama | 2% | +4344 | — |
| Hillary Clinton | 4% | +2567 | — |
| Liz Cheney | 18% | +471 | ▼ 0 |
| Bernie Sanders | 10% | +953 | — |
| Phil Murphy | 26% | +285 | ▼ 11 |
| LeBron James | 8% | +1166 | — |
| Hunter Biden | 27% | +270 | ▼ 0 |
| George Clooney | 13% | +691 | — |
| Chelsea Clinton | 10% | +942 | — |
| MrBeast | 8% | +1233 | — |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 16% | +545 | — |
| Oprah Winfrey | 13% | +700 | — |
| Andrew Yang | 36% | +182 | ▼ 2 |
| Beto O’Rourke | 12% | +770 | — |
| Kim Kardashian | 10% | +953 | ▼ 2 |
| Donald Trump | 13% | +700 | ▲ 1 |
Showing the top 40 of 71 outcomes.
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Price history
On Kalshi
A similar market trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.