Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania Odds
This market has resolved: PSD. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSD ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 1 |
| PNL | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| USR | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| UDMR | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| AUR | 0% | — | — |
| SOS | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
Price history
Resolution rules
The sitting government of Romania was ousted through a vote of no-confidence on May 5, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the next Romanian governing coalition formed after market creation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first new Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the composition of the next governing coalition is not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Romania.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2028 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?
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