Which parties will be in next Swedish Government Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | 48% | +107 | ▲ 2 |
| Sweden Democrats (SD) | 9% | +1017 | ▲ 5 |
| Moderate Party (M) | 54% | -115 | ▲ 7 |
| Centre Party (C) | 66% | -190 | ▼ 12 |
| Left Party (V) | 20% | +400 | ▼ 0 |
| Christian Democrats (KD) | 48% | +111 | — |
| Green Party (MP) | 42% | +141 | ▼ 13 |
| Liberals (L) | 53% | -111 | ▲ 8 |
| Citizens' Coalition (MED) | 1% | +7592 | — |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Sep 14, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.