AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82New Zealand general election winner: National 37% ▼ 61Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 72% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 82% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23"Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Off… 57% ▲ 22ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 78% ▲ 21Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 44% ▲ 20Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 62% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 32% ▼ 18Who will receive the second mandate to form … 57% ▲ 18Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 84% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” … 30% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Midterm 74% ▼ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82New Zealand general election winner: National 37% ▼ 61Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 72% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 82% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23"Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Off… 57% ▲ 22ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 78% ▲ 21Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 44% ▲ 20Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 62% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 32% ▼ 18Who will receive the second mandate to form … 57% ▲ 18Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 84% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” … 30% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Midterm 74% ▼ 16

Taichung Mayor Election Winner Odds

Polymarket traders give Johnny Chiang a 77% chance.

Polymarket Volume $91.4K 24h $3.2K Liquidity $111K Ends Nov 29, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Johnny Chiang
77% -326 —
Ho Hsin-chun
24% +309 —
Yang Chiung-ying
<1% +199900 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 3 Nov 8
Johnny ChiangHo Hsin-chunYang Chiung-ying

Resolution rules

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in Taichung Mayor Election Winner?

As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Johnny Chiang at 77%, about -326 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Nov 29, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Taichung Mayor Election Winner?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.