Speaker of the House after the midterms Odds
Polymarket traders give Hakeem Jeffries a 91% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hakeem Jeffries | 91% | -1005 | ▼ 2 |
| Katherine Clark | 4% | +2339 | ▲ 1 |
| Pete Aguilar | 3% | +3746 | — |
| Mike Johnson | <1% | +28471 | ▼ 1 |
| Jim Jordan | <1% | +39900 | ▼ 1 |
| Steve Scalise | <1% | +39900 | ▼ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Speaker of the House after the midterms?
As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Hakeem Jeffries at 91%, about -1005 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 4, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Speaker of the House after the midterms?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.