Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin Odds · On Nov 3, 2026
Kalshi traders give Talarico by 0-5 a 96% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Talarico by 0-5 | 96% | -2122 | ▲ 76 |
| Raman by 10-15 | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Raman by 0-5 | 3% | +3900 | ▼ 14 |
| Talarico by 15+ | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Talarico by 5-10 | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 92 |
| Raman by 15+ | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Raman by 5-10 | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Talarico by 10-15 | <1% | +19900 | ▼ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election minus James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is at least 15 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin?
As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Talarico by 0-5 at 96%, about -2122 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 9, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.