Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election Odds · Before Jan 1, 2028
Kalshi traders give Ulf Kristersson a 52% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ulf Kristersson | 52% | -106 | ▲ 10 |
| Magdalena Andersson | 45% | +122 | — |
| No one | 3% | +3233 | ▼ 11 |
| Jimmie Åkesson | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Ebba Busch | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Magdalena Andersson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?
As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Ulf Kristersson at 52%, about -106 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.