Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election Odds · Before Oct 27, 2027
Kalshi traders give Gadi Eizenkot a 59% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eizenkot | 59% | -141 | ▲ 5 |
| No one | 34% | +199 | ▼ 5 |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 9% | +1076 | ▲ 2 |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 4% | +2757 | ▲ 1 |
| Naftali Bennett | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Yair Lapid | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Benny Gantz | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Yariv Levin | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Yair Golan | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Itamar Ben Gvir | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Yossi Cohen | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Israel Katz | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Gideon Sa'ar | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Ayelet Shaked | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Amir Ohana | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Moshe Feiglin | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Yoaz Hendel | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Nir Barkat | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Yuli Edelstein | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Aviv Kohavi | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Daniel Hagari | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Gadi Eizenkot at 59%, about -141 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Oct 27, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.