Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania Odds
This market has resolved: Independent/Technocrat. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Independent/Technocrat ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 3 |
| PSD | 0% | — | ▼ 0 |
| PNL | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| AUR | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| USR | 0% | — | — |
| UDMR | 0% | — | — |
| Other | 0% | — | — |
| Party A | 0% | — | — |
| Party B | 0% | — | — |
| Party C | 0% | — | — |
| Party D | 0% | — | — |
| Party E | 0% | — | — |
| Party F | 0% | — | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the political party of the next officially appointed and confirmed Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the Prime Minister must be both formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the prime minister comes from inside parliament, the party of the Prime Minister will be determined based on their formal party affiliation at the time they become Prime Minister. If the Prime Minister comes from outside parliament, their party will be determined by a consensus of credible reporting on which party they represent, hold membership in, or are formally affiliated with. If no clear affiliation exists, this market will resolve to “Independent/Technocrat”. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2028 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.