Paraguay Presidential Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Eduardo Nakayama a 23% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Nakayama | 23% | +344 | ▲ 16 |
| Basilio Núñez | 19% | +441 | ▼ 1 |
| Miguel Prieto | 15% | +567 | ▼ 4 |
| Ricardo Estigarribia | 12% | +733 | ▲ 1 |
| Pedro Alliana | 12% | +770 | ▲ 1 |
| Arnoldo Wiens | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 4 |
| Raúl Latorre | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 12 |
| Celeste Amarilla | <1% | +18082 | — |
| Juan Carlos Baruja | <1% | +19900 | ▼ 5 |
| Luis Pettengill | <1% | +28471 | — |
| Kattya González | <1% | +33233 | — |
| Lilian Samaniego | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Yolanda Paredes | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Paraguayo Cubas | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Alberto Martínez Simón | <1% | +49900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Paraguayan Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by April 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Paraguay government sources, including the Tribunal Superior de Justicia Electoral (https://www.tsje.gov.py/).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Paraguay Presidential Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Eduardo Nakayama at 23%, about +344 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists May 1, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Paraguay Presidential Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.