AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82New Zealand general election winner: National 37% ▼ 61Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 72% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 82% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23"Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Off… 57% ▲ 22ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 78% ▲ 21Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 44% ▲ 20Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 62% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 32% ▼ 18Who will receive the second mandate to form … 57% ▲ 18Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 84% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” … 30% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Midterm 74% ▼ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82New Zealand general election winner: National 37% ▼ 61Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 72% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 82% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23"Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Off… 57% ▲ 22ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 78% ▲ 21Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 44% ▲ 20Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 62% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 32% ▼ 18Who will receive the second mandate to form … 57% ▲ 18Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 84% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” … 30% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Midterm 74% ▼ 16

Oscar nominees: Best Picture Odds · In 2027

Kalshi Volume $783K 24h $10.9K Ends Jan 21, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
The Odyssey
99% -6567 —
Digger
25% +308 ▲ 1
Wild Horse Nine
92% -1076 —
Project Hail Mary
77% -335 ▼ 1
Dune: Part Three
81% -413 ▼ 5
Disclosure Day
7% +1438 ▲ 5
Fjord
28% +264 ▲ 1
The Social Reckoning
5% +1900 ▲ 3
Michael
12% +770 ▼ 2
The Entertainment System Is Down
3% +3233 —
Artificial
57% -135 ▲ 3
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew
1% +9900 —
Werwulf
5% +1900 —
Behemoth
16% +545 —
Josephine
9% +1076 ▲ 6
Sense and Sensibility
6% +1718 —
I Love Boosters
3% +3233 —
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
22% +365 ▼ 5
Avengers: Doomsday
3% +3900 —
The Death of Robin Hood
2% +4900 —
The Drama
3% +3233 ▼ 2
Ink
8% +1233 —
All of a Sudden
38% +167 —
Cry to Heaven
3% +3900 —
Saturn Return
5% +2122 —
Parallel Tales
3% +3233 —
Jack of Spades
3% +3233 —
Being Heumann
16% +506 —
1949 / Fatherland
4% +2400 —
Paper Tiger
4% +2400 ▲ 5
Hope
3% +3900 —
The Invite
75% -300 ▲ 6
Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother
6% +1718 —
Minotaur
3% +3900 —
The Black Ball
94% -1567 —
Club Kid
38% +163 ▲ 3
The Whisper Man
3% +3233 —
Obsession
25% +300 ▲ 2
Backrooms
2% +4900 —
Rose
3% +2757 —

Showing the top 40 of 53 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 5 Nov 8
The Odyssey

Resolution rules

If The Odyssey has been nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Jan 21, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Oscar nominees: Best Picture?

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