Next US president's age at inauguration Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50+ | 34% | +199 | ▼ 5 |
| 60+ | 20% | +400 | ▲ 4 |
| 70+ | 14% | +590 | ▲ 1 |
| 80+ | 9% | +1076 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next individual to be sworn in as President of the United States after Donald J. Trump is the listed age or older on the day on which they are sworn in. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they are sworn in. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual other than Donald J. Trump has been sworn in as President of the United States by March 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official government sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 21, 2029 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Next US president's age at inauguration?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.