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Next Prime Minister of Sweden Odds

Polymarket traders give Ulf Kristersson a 52% chance.

Polymarket Volume $11.5M 24h $112K Liquidity $1.0M Ends Jul 1, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Ulf Kristersson
52% -107 ▲ 5
Magdalena Andersson
43% +133 ▼ 4
Ebba Busch
<1% +11011 —
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1% +39900 —
Jimmie Åkesson
<1% +199900 —
Anna-Karin Hatt
<1% +199900 —
Nooshi Dadgostar
<1% +199900 —
Simona Mohamsson
<1% +199900 —
Amanda Lind
<1% +199900 —
Daniel Helldén
<1% +199900 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Sep 29 Nov 8
Ulf KristerssonMagdalena AnderssonEbba BuschElisabeth Thand Ringqvist

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in Next Prime Minister of Sweden?

As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Ulf Kristersson at 52%, about -107 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Jul 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Next Prime Minister of Sweden?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.