Next President of Germany Odds
Polymarket traders give Ilse Aigner a 96% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ilse Aigner | 96% | -2432 | ▲ 3 |
| Julia Klöckner | 2% | +4248 | ▼ 1 |
| Karin Prien | 2% | +4551 | ▼ 2 |
| Boris Rhein | <1% | +28471 | — |
| Angela Merkel | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Udo Di Fabio | <1% | +66567 | ▼ 1 |
| Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer | <1% | +66567 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Germany is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on January 30, 2027. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Germany by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Germany. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Next President of Germany?
As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Ilse Aigner at 96%, about -2432 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 30, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Next President of Germany?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.