New Zealand Election: Turnout Odds
Polymarket traders give <76% a 84% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| <76% | 84% | -506 | ▲ 80 |
| 76-78% | 12% | +762 | ▼ 15 |
| 78-80% | 4% | +2432 | ▼ 35 |
| 80-82% | 2% | +5961 | ▼ 16 |
| 82-84% | <1% | +12400 | ▼ 25 |
| 84%+ | <1% | +49900 | ▼ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in New Zealand Election: Turnout?
As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price <76% at 84%, about -506 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 8, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on New Zealand Election: Turnout?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.