AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82New Zealand general election winner: National 37% ▼ 61Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 72% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 82% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23"Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Off… 57% ▲ 22ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 78% ▲ 21Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 44% ▲ 20Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 62% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 32% ▼ 18Who will receive the second mandate to form … 57% ▲ 18Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 84% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” … 30% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Midterm 74% ▼ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82New Zealand general election winner: National 37% ▼ 61Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 72% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 82% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23"Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Off… 57% ▲ 22ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 78% ▲ 21Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 44% ▲ 20Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 62% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 32% ▼ 18Who will receive the second mandate to form … 57% ▲ 18Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 84% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” … 30% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Midterm 74% ▼ 16

Netanyahu out by... Odds

Polymarket Volume $125.3M 24h $35.2K Liquidity $169K Ends Jan 1, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
December 31
45% +122 ▲ 7
March 31, 2027
69% -217 ▲ 11
June 30, 2027
68% -213 ▲ 1

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Sep 28 Nov 8
December 31

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Netanyahu out by...?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.