MN-01 House winner Odds · MN-01
Kalshi traders give Jake Johnson a 97% chance (Polymarket: 97%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Johnson | 97% | -3604 | ▲ 3 | 97% |
| Brad Finstad | 3% | +3900 | ▼ 2 | 3% |
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Price history
On Polymarket
The same question also trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If the House member sworn in for MN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in MN-01 House winner?
As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Jake Johnson at 97%, about -3604 in American odds. On Polymarket the same outcome trades at 97%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 4, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on MN-01 House winner?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.