Michoacán Governor Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Carlos Torres Piña a 66% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Torres Piña | 66% | -190 | ▼ 2 |
| Grecia Quiroz | 26% | +286 | ▲ 1 |
| Alfonso Martínez Alcázar | 5% | +1823 | ▲ 2 |
| Gladyz Butanda Macías | 1% | +8991 | — |
| Raúl Morón Orozco | <1% | +14186 | — |
| Fabiola Alanís Sámano | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Carlos Herrera Tello | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Gabriela Molina Aguilar | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Celeste Ascencio Ortega | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Esteban González Nava | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Ernesto Núñez Aguilar | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Marko Cortés Mendoza | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Germán Martínez Cázares | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Guillermo Valencia Reyes | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Daniela de los Santos | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Adriana Hernández Íñiguez | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Edna Martínez Nambo | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Víctor Manuel Manríquez | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Michoacán Governor Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Carlos Torres Piña at 66%, about -190 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jun 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Michoacán Governor Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.